Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements established a daily maximum of 31°C on September 15, 2026, under easterly flow with moderate humidity near 70% and partly cloudy skies that limited further solar heating. This outcome aligns with climatological September averages near 31°C and real-time station data showing peaks in the low 30s before any convective cooling. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects confidence in finalized HKO absolute daily max values, which incorporate verified observational records rather than forecasts. Minor probabilities for adjacent outcomes account for rare post-processing revisions or instrument calibration checks, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary hourly data are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日香港气温最高?
31°C 100.0%
25℃或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,339 交易量
$126,339 交易量
25℃或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25℃或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$126,339 交易量
$126,339 交易量
25℃或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements established a daily maximum of 31°C on September 15, 2026, under easterly flow with moderate humidity near 70% and partly cloudy skies that limited further solar heating. This outcome aligns with climatological September averages near 31°C and real-time station data showing peaks in the low 30s before any convective cooling. Trader consensus at 100% for 31°C reflects confidence in finalized HKO absolute daily max values, which incorporate verified observational records rather than forecasts. Minor probabilities for adjacent outcomes account for rare post-processing revisions or instrument calibration checks, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary hourly data are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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