The market's overwhelming consensus on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 17 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of generally fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime temperatures expected to reach 27–32°C amid moderate easterly winds. Real-time station observations through the afternoon, showing peaks near 29°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal cloud cover, align closely with this range and historical September baselines for the region. Model consensus supports limited variability, as the stable steering pattern suppresses significant cooling or intensification. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon convective development or unforecasted wind shifts that cap the maximum below the threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日香港气温最高？
9月17日香港气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$84,850 交易量
$84,850 交易量
2026-09-17
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$84,850 交易量
$84,850 交易量
2026-09-17
24°C或以下
$459 交易量
<1%
25°C
$253 交易量
<1%
26°C
$685 交易量
<1%
27°C
$761 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,853 交易量
<1%
29°C
$6,357 交易量
<1%
30°C
$25,832 交易量
<1%
31°C
$19,106 交易量
100%
32°C
$18,573 交易量
<1%
33°C
$6,660 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$3,309 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 17 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of generally fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime temperatures expected to reach 27–32°C amid moderate easterly winds. Real-time station observations through the afternoon, showing peaks near 29°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal cloud cover, align closely with this range and historical September baselines for the region. Model consensus supports limited variability, as the stable steering pattern suppresses significant cooling or intensification. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon convective development or unforecasted wind shifts that cap the maximum below the threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$84,850结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 17 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of generally fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime temperatures expected to reach 27–32°C amid moderate easterly winds. Real-time station observations through the afternoon, showing peaks near 29°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal cloud cover, align closely with this range and historical September baselines for the region. Model consensus supports limited variability, as the stable steering pattern suppresses significant cooling or intensification. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon convective development or unforecasted wind shifts that cap the maximum below the threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$84,850结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe market's overwhelming consensus on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on September 17 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast of generally fine, dry conditions under a northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with daytime temperatures expected to reach 27–32°C amid moderate easterly winds. Real-time station observations through the afternoon, showing peaks near 29°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal cloud cover, align closely with this range and historical September baselines for the region. Model consensus supports limited variability, as the stable steering pattern suppresses significant cooling or intensification. A realistic challenge would require rapid afternoon convective development or unforecasted wind shifts that cap the maximum below the threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题