Official meteorological observations from Panama City confirm a daily maximum of 31°C on September 19, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. In the region's tropical maritime climate, September highs typically range 30–32°C under consistent solar heating and trade-wind moderation, with minimal frontal systems or cold-air intrusions this time of year. Recent regional model runs from agencies monitoring Central American conditions showed stable atmospheric patterns without significant cloud cover or precipitation anomalies that would suppress temperatures below the observed peak. Traders priced in this outcome because the measurement falls squarely within historical September baselines and verified station data, leaving little room for alternative thresholds. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or redefinition of the reporting window could realistically alter the result at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日巴拿马城气温最高?
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$21,672 交易量
$21,672 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$21,672 交易量
$21,672 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Panama City confirm a daily maximum of 31°C on September 19, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus. In the region's tropical maritime climate, September highs typically range 30–32°C under consistent solar heating and trade-wind moderation, with minimal frontal systems or cold-air intrusions this time of year. Recent regional model runs from agencies monitoring Central American conditions showed stable atmospheric patterns without significant cloud cover or precipitation anomalies that would suppress temperatures below the observed peak. Traders priced in this outcome because the measurement falls squarely within historical September baselines and verified station data, leaving little room for alternative thresholds. Only an unprecedented station malfunction or redefinition of the reporting window could realistically alter the result at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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