Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a frontal system are expected to suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 21, with official forecasts indicating a high near 25–26°C amid northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation chances. These conditions limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping the daily peak well below seasonal norms. Market-implied odds favor 26°C or 25°C as traders weigh model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency against potential timing shifts in heaviest rain bands that could allow brief warming to 27°C or hold the maximum at 24°C. Recent days of similar unsettled weather have reinforced this range, with low odds on extremes reflecting historical September patterns under comparable synoptic setups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日东京气温最高？
9月21日东京气温最高？
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
24°C 14%
最新
$10,364 交易量
最新
$10,364 交易量
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
14%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C或更高
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C 20%
24°C 14%
最新
$10,364 交易量
最新
$10,364 交易量
2026-09-21
20°C或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
21°C
$437 交易量
<1%
22°C
$357 交易量
2%
23°C
$1,678 交易量
7%
24°C
$2,292 交易量
14%
25°C
$1,182 交易量
28%
26°C
$1,887 交易量
34%
27°C
$1,247 交易量
20%
28°C
$509 交易量
5%
29°C
$241 交易量
2%
30°C或更高
$570 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a frontal system are expected to suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 21, with official forecasts indicating a high near 25–26°C amid northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation chances. These conditions limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping the daily peak well below seasonal norms. Market-implied odds favor 26°C or 25°C as traders weigh model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency against potential timing shifts in heaviest rain bands that could allow brief warming to 27°C or hold the maximum at 24°C. Recent days of similar unsettled weather have reinforced this range, with low odds on extremes reflecting historical September patterns under comparable synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,364结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a frontal system are expected to suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 21, with official forecasts indicating a high near 25–26°C amid northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation chances. These conditions limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping the daily peak well below seasonal norms. Market-implied odds favor 26°C or 25°C as traders weigh model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency against potential timing shifts in heaviest rain bands that could allow brief warming to 27°C or hold the maximum at 24°C. Recent days of similar unsettled weather have reinforced this range, with low odds on extremes reflecting historical September patterns under comparable synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,364结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETHeavy rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a frontal system are expected to suppress maximum temperatures in Tokyo on September 21, with official forecasts indicating a high near 25–26°C amid northeasterly winds and near-100% precipitation chances. These conditions limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling effects, keeping the daily peak well below seasonal norms. Market-implied odds favor 26°C or 25°C as traders weigh model consensus from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency against potential timing shifts in heaviest rain bands that could allow brief warming to 27°C or hold the maximum at 24°C. Recent days of similar unsettled weather have reinforced this range, with low odds on extremes reflecting historical September patterns under comparable synoptic setups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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