**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月20日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 53%
14°C 33%
16°C 15%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
33%
15°C
53%
16°C
15%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 33%
16°C 15%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
9°C或以下
$181 交易量
<1%
10°C
$277 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
2%
12°C
$35 交易量
3%
13°C
$31 交易量
4%
14°C
$798 交易量
33%
15°C
$384 交易量
53%
16°C
$2,249 交易量
15%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$99 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,234结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,234结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Model consensus from MetService and global ensembles positions 14–15°C as the most probable maximum temperature for Wellington on September 20.** Current short-range forecasts show southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions limiting daytime warming to near or slightly above the September climatological average of 14–15°C, with limited potential for stronger northerlies to push values toward 16°C. Recent observations confirm stable spring conditions without significant warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would shift the distribution. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of deterministic and ensemble guidance, which narrows uncertainty ahead of the final model runs before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题