Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and a chance of drizzle or scattered showers for Tokyo on September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby frontal system and higher humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with seasonal normals of 26–27 °C, while modest northerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of any showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and shortwave radiative flux under variable stratiform clouds; later model runs or updated JMA guidance could shift the peak by 1 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日东京气温最高？
9月18日东京气温最高？
24°C 39%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
最新
$11,219 交易量
最新
$11,219 交易量
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
39%
25°C
32%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 32%
23°C 18%
26°C 7%
最新
$11,219 交易量
最新
$11,219 交易量
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
$1,379 交易量
<1%
20°C
$392 交易量
<1%
21°C
$390 交易量
2%
22°C
$440 交易量
4%
23°C
$2,632 交易量
18%
24°C
$1,437 交易量
39%
25°C
$2,000 交易量
32%
26°C
$853 交易量
7%
27°C
$397 交易量
2%
28°C
$375 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$925 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and a chance of drizzle or scattered showers for Tokyo on September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby frontal system and higher humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with seasonal normals of 26–27 °C, while modest northerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of any showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and shortwave radiative flux under variable stratiform clouds; later model runs or updated JMA guidance could shift the peak by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,219结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and a chance of drizzle or scattered showers for Tokyo on September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby frontal system and higher humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with seasonal normals of 26–27 °C, while modest northerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of any showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and shortwave radiative flux under variable stratiform clouds; later model runs or updated JMA guidance could shift the peak by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,219结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and a chance of drizzle or scattered showers for Tokyo on September 18, limiting solar heating and keeping afternoon maxima near 23–25 °C. Persistent cloud cover from a nearby frontal system and higher humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range compared with seasonal normals of 26–27 °C, while modest northerly flow advects slightly cooler maritime air. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and coverage of any showers, boundary-layer mixing depth, and shortwave radiative flux under variable stratiform clouds; later model runs or updated JMA guidance could shift the peak by 1 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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