Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 19 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with northeasterly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions after a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and recent daily maxima of 21–25°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and wind strength, creating the primary uncertainty in the exact peak temperature. Trader positioning, with 24°C heavily favored, reflects this narrow range of outcomes and the limited time until resolution, as new observational data and updated model guidance could still shift probabilities before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月19日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
24°C 59%
23°C 36%
26°C 33%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
4%
21°C
7%
22°C
20%
23°C
36%
24°C
59%
25°C
26%
26°C
33%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
1%
24°C 59%
23°C 36%
26°C 33%
25°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
20°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
7%
22°C
$0 交易量
20%
23°C
$3 交易量
36%
24°C
$87 交易量
59%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
7%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$6 交易量
1%
30°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 19 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with northeasterly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions after a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and recent daily maxima of 21–25°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and wind strength, creating the primary uncertainty in the exact peak temperature. Trader positioning, with 24°C heavily favored, reflects this narrow range of outcomes and the limited time until resolution, as new observational data and updated model guidance could still shift probabilities before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$95结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 19 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with northeasterly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions after a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and recent daily maxima of 21–25°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and wind strength, creating the primary uncertainty in the exact peak temperature. Trader positioning, with 24°C heavily favored, reflects this narrow range of outcomes and the limited time until resolution, as new observational data and updated model guidance could still shift probabilities before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$95结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from sources including GFS and regional meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 25–26°C for Istanbul on September 19 under partly cloudy to sunny skies with northeasterly flow. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn conditions after a period of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and recent daily maxima of 21–25°C. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and wind strength, creating the primary uncertainty in the exact peak temperature. Trader positioning, with 24°C heavily favored, reflects this narrow range of outcomes and the limited time until resolution, as new observational data and updated model guidance could still shift probabilities before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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