Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, based on current observations of cooling Atlantic influences and regional pressure patterns, underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 49% implied probability. Cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, reducing chances of warmer outcomes above 26°C, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
24°C 49%
20°C或以下 46%
23°C 42%
25°C 40%
20°C或以下
46%
21°C
38%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
49%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
1%
24°C 49%
20°C或以下 46%
23°C 42%
25°C 40%
20°C或以下
46%
21°C
38%
22°C
35%
23°C
36%
24°C
49%
25°C
40%
26°C
37%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, based on current observations of cooling Atlantic influences and regional pressure patterns, underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 49% implied probability. Cloud cover and moderate humidity are expected to limit daytime heating, reducing chances of warmer outcomes above 26°C, while historical September averages near 23–25°C provide additional context for trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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