Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show a high near 22°C in Paris on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 8–18 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This follows an unusually warm September 15 peak near 31–32°C, with the expected drop driven by a shift to cooler Atlantic air. The 21–22°C range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September 16 climatological average high of 21.5°C, supporting the market-implied odds of 47.5% for 22°C and 20.5% for 21°C. Later model updates or minor steering changes could nudge the exact maximum, though consensus remains stable within a narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日巴黎气温最高？
9月16日巴黎气温最高？
22°C 48%
23°C 25%
21°C 17%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
17%
22°C
48%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
1%
22°C 48%
23°C 25%
21°C 17%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
19°C
$5 交易量
5%
20°C
$80 交易量
6%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$63 交易量
48%
23°C
$116 交易量
25%
24°C
$47 交易量
7%
25°C
$3 交易量
2%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$20 交易量
1%
28°C或更高
$20 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show a high near 22°C in Paris on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 8–18 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This follows an unusually warm September 15 peak near 31–32°C, with the expected drop driven by a shift to cooler Atlantic air. The 21–22°C range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September 16 climatological average high of 21.5°C, supporting the market-implied odds of 47.5% for 22°C and 20.5% for 21°C. Later model updates or minor steering changes could nudge the exact maximum, though consensus remains stable within a narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$355结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show a high near 22°C in Paris on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 8–18 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This follows an unusually warm September 15 peak near 31–32°C, with the expected drop driven by a shift to cooler Atlantic air. The 21–22°C range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September 16 climatological average high of 21.5°C, supporting the market-implied odds of 47.5% for 22°C and 20.5% for 21°C. Later model updates or minor steering changes could nudge the exact maximum, though consensus remains stable within a narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$355结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent numerical weather models, including GFS runs and Météo-France guidance, show a high near 22°C in Paris on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies with northwest winds of 8–18 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This follows an unusually warm September 15 peak near 31–32°C, with the expected drop driven by a shift to cooler Atlantic air. The 21–22°C range aligns closely with the 1991–2020 September 16 climatological average high of 21.5°C, supporting the market-implied odds of 47.5% for 22°C and 20.5% for 21°C. Later model updates or minor steering changes could nudge the exact maximum, though consensus remains stable within a narrow band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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