Recent forecasts from multiple models point to partly cloudy conditions and a high near 29–30 °C in Busan on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light variable winds that limit sea-breeze cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation. Historical September averages sit near 26 °C, but current ridging has produced several consecutive warmer days, supporting the market’s clustering around 30–32 °C outcomes. Key variables differentiating the close 29–32 °C probabilities include afternoon cloud cover fraction, exact wind direction modulating coastal moderation, and local topographic effects around Busan’s hills and harbor. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and final model runs on September 13 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日釜山气温最高?
32°C 40%
30°C 23%
31°C 23%
29°C 11%
26°C或以下
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
11%
30°C
23%
31°C
23%
32°C
40%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C或更高
2%
32°C 40%
30°C 23%
31°C 23%
29°C 11%
26°C或以下
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
11%
30°C
23%
31°C
23%
32°C
40%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models point to partly cloudy conditions and a high near 29–30 °C in Busan on September 14, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and light variable winds that limit sea-breeze cooling while allowing strong daytime insolation. Historical September averages sit near 26 °C, but current ridging has produced several consecutive warmer days, supporting the market’s clustering around 30–32 °C outcomes. Key variables differentiating the close 29–32 °C probabilities include afternoon cloud cover fraction, exact wind direction modulating coastal moderation, and local topographic effects around Busan’s hills and harbor. Updated Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and final model runs on September 13 will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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