Recent meteorological forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily high temperature most likely between 22–24°C on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under stable autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moisture from regional airflow supports scattered light rain that further moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs shows limited diurnal range, with no significant warming or clearing expected before evening. These factors align with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of observational data and short-term forecast stability rather than historical September averages near 25–27°C. Updated model guidance or satellite observations of cloud trends could refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日成都气温最高？
9月12日成都气温最高？
23°C 40%
24°C 30%
22°C 18%
25°C 8%
最新
$28,280 交易量
最新
$28,280 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
18%
23°C
40%
24°C
30%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
23°C 40%
24°C 30%
22°C 18%
25°C 8%
最新
$28,280 交易量
最新
$28,280 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
$1,444 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,214 交易量
2%
22°C
$1,923 交易量
18%
23°C
$8,039 交易量
40%
24°C
$3,403 交易量
30%
25°C
$4,893 交易量
8%
26°C
$3,478 交易量
3%
27°C
$796 交易量
1%
28°C
$566 交易量
<1%
29°C
$838 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$840 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily high temperature most likely between 22–24°C on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under stable autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moisture from regional airflow supports scattered light rain that further moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs shows limited diurnal range, with no significant warming or clearing expected before evening. These factors align with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of observational data and short-term forecast stability rather than historical September averages near 25–27°C. Updated model guidance or satellite observations of cloud trends could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,280结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily high temperature most likely between 22–24°C on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under stable autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moisture from regional airflow supports scattered light rain that further moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs shows limited diurnal range, with no significant warming or clearing expected before evening. These factors align with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of observational data and short-term forecast stability rather than historical September averages near 25–27°C. Updated model guidance or satellite observations of cloud trends could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,280结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Chengdu indicate a daily high temperature most likely between 22–24°C on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 80–90%, and light northeasterly winds under stable autumn conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Cloud cover limits solar insolation and surface heating, while moisture from regional airflow supports scattered light rain that further moderates daytime maxima. Model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS runs shows limited diurnal range, with no significant warming or clearing expected before evening. These factors align with the market’s concentration of implied probability on 23°C and 24°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of observational data and short-term forecast stability rather than historical September averages near 25–27°C. Updated model guidance or satellite observations of cloud trends could refine the exact peak before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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