Latest forecast models from Environment Canada analogs and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by northwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.6°C, reflecting a transient warm anomaly ahead of a cooler front arriving Monday. Model consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C, with minor spread arising from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; the 50% market-implied probability on 26°C aligns with this central tendency while the 24.5% on 27°C captures upside potential if insolation exceeds current guidance. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日多伦多气温最高？
9月13日多伦多气温最高？
26°C 50%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
21%
26°C
50%
27°C
25%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
2%
26°C 50%
27°C 25%
25°C 21%
28°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
19°C或以下
$397 交易量
<1%
20°C
$231 交易量
<1%
21°C
$144 交易量
<1%
22°C
$42 交易量
1%
23°C
$67 交易量
2%
24°C
$533 交易量
3%
25°C
$1,724 交易量
21%
26°C
$744 交易量
50%
27°C
$1,365 交易量
25%
28°C
$142 交易量
4%
29°C或更高
$79 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from Environment Canada analogs and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by northwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.6°C, reflecting a transient warm anomaly ahead of a cooler front arriving Monday. Model consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C, with minor spread arising from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; the 50% market-implied probability on 26°C aligns with this central tendency while the 24.5% on 27°C captures upside potential if insolation exceeds current guidance. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,464结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from Environment Canada analogs and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by northwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.6°C, reflecting a transient warm anomaly ahead of a cooler front arriving Monday. Model consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C, with minor spread arising from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; the 50% market-implied probability on 26°C aligns with this central tendency while the 24.5% on 27°C captures upside potential if insolation exceeds current guidance. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,464结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETLatest forecast models from Environment Canada analogs and global ensembles indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on September 13, driven by northwesterly flow under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 22.6°C, reflecting a transient warm anomaly ahead of a cooler front arriving Monday. Model consensus clusters tightly around 24–27°C, with minor spread arising from cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer mixing; the 50% market-implied probability on 26°C aligns with this central tendency while the 24.5% on 27°C captures upside potential if insolation exceeds current guidance. Updated runs expected overnight will refine resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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