Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and regional services indicate a high near 29°C in Shanghai on September 12 under northeast winds of 8–13 km/h, partly cloudy to clear skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports moderate daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours, consistent with early-autumn conditions slightly above the long-term September maximum average of 27°C. Current observations on September 11 show stable high pressure near 1020 hPa with light northeasterly flow, limiting cloud buildup and favoring the market-implied clustering around 28–29°C. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing keeps 30°C a lower-probability outcome while rendering extremes below 27°C or above 31°C unlikely absent rapid changes in steering patterns. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the final peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日上海气温最高？
9月12日上海气温最高？
28°C 44%
29°C 43%
30°C 9%
27°C 5%
最新
$17,792 交易量
最新
$17,792 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
44%
29°C
43%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 43%
30°C 9%
27°C 5%
最新
$17,792 交易量
最新
$17,792 交易量
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
$370 交易量
<1%
26°C
$765 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,846 交易量
5%
28°C
$6,214 交易量
44%
29°C
$1,911 交易量
43%
30°C
$2,538 交易量
9%
31°C
$1,738 交易量
3%
32°C
$1,907 交易量
<1%
33°C
$128 交易量
<1%
34°C
$125 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$249 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and regional services indicate a high near 29°C in Shanghai on September 12 under northeast winds of 8–13 km/h, partly cloudy to clear skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports moderate daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours, consistent with early-autumn conditions slightly above the long-term September maximum average of 27°C. Current observations on September 11 show stable high pressure near 1020 hPa with light northeasterly flow, limiting cloud buildup and favoring the market-implied clustering around 28–29°C. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing keeps 30°C a lower-probability outcome while rendering extremes below 27°C or above 31°C unlikely absent rapid changes in steering patterns. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$17,792结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS runs and regional services indicate a high near 29°C in Shanghai on September 12 under northeast winds of 8–13 km/h, partly cloudy to clear skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports moderate daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours, consistent with early-autumn conditions slightly above the long-term September maximum average of 27°C. Current observations on September 11 show stable high pressure near 1020 hPa with light northeasterly flow, limiting cloud buildup and favoring the market-implied clustering around 28–29°C. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing keeps 30°C a lower-probability outcome while rendering extremes below 27°C or above 31°C unlikely absent rapid changes in steering patterns. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,792结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS runs and regional services indicate a high near 29°C in Shanghai on September 12 under northeast winds of 8–13 km/h, partly cloudy to clear skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This setup supports moderate daytime heating with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours, consistent with early-autumn conditions slightly above the long-term September maximum average of 27°C. Current observations on September 11 show stable high pressure near 1020 hPa with light northeasterly flow, limiting cloud buildup and favoring the market-implied clustering around 28–29°C. Minor model spread on exact cloud timing keeps 30°C a lower-probability outcome while rendering extremes below 27°C or above 31°C unlikely absent rapid changes in steering patterns. Updated model guidance overnight will refine the final peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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