The Hong Kong Observatory's preliminary observations recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with forecast model consensus for late-summer conditions under weak monsoon influence and partly cloudy skies that permitted strong daytime heating. This outcome sits within the typical September range near 30–32°C, supported by regional sea surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover during peak hours. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects the alignment between real-time station data and historical climatology, with the market resolving to the official absolute daily maximum once finalized. A last-minute revision in the HKO Daily Extract or measurement discrepancy at the primary site could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare after initial verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日香港气温最高？
9月11日香港气温最高？
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
$113,339 交易量
$113,339 交易量
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 99.8%
31°C <1%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
$113,339 交易量
$113,339 交易量
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
$265 交易量
<1%
27°C
$228 交易量
<1%
28°C
$19,467 交易量
<1%
29°C
$11,271 交易量
<1%
30°C
$12,940 交易量
<1%
31°C
$20,940 交易量
<1%
32°C
$16,005 交易量
100%
33°C
$28,058 交易量
<1%
34°C
$3,661 交易量
<1%
35°C
$274 交易量
<1%
36°C或更高
$230 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's preliminary observations recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with forecast model consensus for late-summer conditions under weak monsoon influence and partly cloudy skies that permitted strong daytime heating. This outcome sits within the typical September range near 30–32°C, supported by regional sea surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover during peak hours. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects the alignment between real-time station data and historical climatology, with the market resolving to the official absolute daily maximum once finalized. A last-minute revision in the HKO Daily Extract or measurement discrepancy at the primary site could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare after initial verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$113,339结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's preliminary observations recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with forecast model consensus for late-summer conditions under weak monsoon influence and partly cloudy skies that permitted strong daytime heating. This outcome sits within the typical September range near 30–32°C, supported by regional sea surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover during peak hours. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects the alignment between real-time station data and historical climatology, with the market resolving to the official absolute daily maximum once finalized. A last-minute revision in the HKO Daily Extract or measurement discrepancy at the primary site could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare after initial verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$113,339结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe Hong Kong Observatory's preliminary observations recorded a daily maximum of 32°C on September 11, 2026, aligning with forecast model consensus for late-summer conditions under weak monsoon influence and partly cloudy skies that permitted strong daytime heating. This outcome sits within the typical September range near 30–32°C, supported by regional sea surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover during peak hours. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects the alignment between real-time station data and historical climatology, with the market resolving to the official absolute daily maximum once finalized. A last-minute revision in the HKO Daily Extract or measurement discrepancy at the primary site could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare after initial verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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