Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southeasterly winds, well above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with limited model spread reducing the chance of significant deviation. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns that would alter the trajectory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because multiple official guidance products converge there, though final afternoon readings and any last model updates could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 14–16°C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月13日惠灵顿的最高温度？
15°C 68%
14°C 18%
16°C 18%
13°C 2%
最新
$14,935 交易量
最新
$14,935 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
18%
15°C
68%
16°C
18%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 68%
14°C 18%
16°C 18%
13°C 2%
最新
$14,935 交易量
最新
$14,935 交易量
2026-09-13
10°C或以下
$636 交易量
<1%
11°C
$284 交易量
<1%
12°C
$180 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,093 交易量
2%
14°C
$2,842 交易量
18%
15°C
$4,282 交易量
68%
16°C
$4,076 交易量
18%
17°C
$536 交易量
1%
18°C
$48 交易量
<1%
19°C
$746 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$213 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southeasterly winds, well above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with limited model spread reducing the chance of significant deviation. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns that would alter the trajectory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because multiple official guidance products converge there, though final afternoon readings and any last model updates could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 14–16°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,935结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southeasterly winds, well above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with limited model spread reducing the chance of significant deviation. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns that would alter the trajectory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because multiple official guidance products converge there, though final afternoon readings and any last model updates could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 14–16°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,935结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS point to a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on September 13 under partly cloudy skies and light to moderate southeasterly winds, well above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–13°C. Stable high-pressure influence and minimal cloud cover support this range, with limited model spread reducing the chance of significant deviation. Recent observations show no incoming fronts or unusual atmospheric patterns that would alter the trajectory. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because multiple official guidance products converge there, though final afternoon readings and any last model updates could still shift the exact peak within the narrow 14–16°C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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