Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight low near 78°F for Miami on September 14, amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Official guidance from the Miami NWS office shows Monday night lows in the upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, consistent with GFS data and historical September baselines where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 76°F without a strong frontal passage. Key variables include minor model spread on dew points and cloud cover that could nudge readings a degree or two lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while persistent moisture supports the current 41.5% market-implied probability on 78-79°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日迈阿密最低气温？
9月14日迈阿密最低气温？
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 34%
72-73°F 17%
70-71°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69华氏度或以下
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88华氏度或更高
1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 34%
72-73°F 17%
70-71°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
69华氏度或以下
$0 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
16%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$53 交易量
14%
76-77°F
$123 交易量
34%
78-79°F
$89 交易量
42%
80-81°F
$20 交易量
16%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
7%
86-87°F
$50 交易量
1%
88华氏度或更高
$50 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight low near 78°F for Miami on September 14, amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Official guidance from the Miami NWS office shows Monday night lows in the upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, consistent with GFS data and historical September baselines where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 76°F without a strong frontal passage. Key variables include minor model spread on dew points and cloud cover that could nudge readings a degree or two lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while persistent moisture supports the current 41.5% market-implied probability on 78-79°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$385结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight low near 78°F for Miami on September 14, amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Official guidance from the Miami NWS office shows Monday night lows in the upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, consistent with GFS data and historical September baselines where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 76°F without a strong frontal passage. Key variables include minor model spread on dew points and cloud cover that could nudge readings a degree or two lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while persistent moisture supports the current 41.5% market-implied probability on 78-79°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$385结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus projecting an overnight low near 78°F for Miami on September 14, amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Official guidance from the Miami NWS office shows Monday night lows in the upper 70s under partly cloudy skies, consistent with GFS data and historical September baselines where minimum temperatures rarely drop below 76°F without a strong frontal passage. Key variables include minor model spread on dew points and cloud cover that could nudge readings a degree or two lower if clearing occurs earlier than expected, while persistent moisture supports the current 41.5% market-implied probability on 78-79°F. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题