Trader consensus in this Shanghai temperature market clusters around 29–30°C for September 13, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project a modest peak under weakening subtropical ridge influence as the region transitions toward autumn. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that could suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C, along with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation in the Yangtze River delta. Historical September maxima average near 28–29°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and any emerging synoptic features will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日上海气温最高？
9月13日上海气温最高？
29°C 37%
30°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
8%
28°C
15%
29°C
37%
30°C
34%
31°C
9%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 34%
28°C 15%
31°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$45 交易量
<1%
27°C
$84 交易量
8%
28°C
$101 交易量
15%
29°C
$137 交易量
37%
30°C
$227 交易量
34%
31°C
$211 交易量
9%
32°C
$78 交易量
6%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C
$0 交易量
2%
35°C
$65 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$100 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Shanghai temperature market clusters around 29–30°C for September 13, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project a modest peak under weakening subtropical ridge influence as the region transitions toward autumn. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that could suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C, along with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation in the Yangtze River delta. Historical September maxima average near 28–29°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and any emerging synoptic features will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$997结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Shanghai temperature market clusters around 29–30°C for September 13, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project a modest peak under weakening subtropical ridge influence as the region transitions toward autumn. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that could suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C, along with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation in the Yangtze River delta. Historical September maxima average near 28–29°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and any emerging synoptic features will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$997结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus in this Shanghai temperature market clusters around 29–30°C for September 13, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global models such as ECMWF and GFS, which project a modest peak under weakening subtropical ridge influence as the region transitions toward autumn. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and humidity levels that could suppress afternoon heating by 1–2°C, along with sea-breeze effects and urban heat-island modulation in the Yangtze River delta. Historical September maxima average near 28–29°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, underscoring the narrow spread between leading outcomes. Updated model guidance and any emerging synoptic features will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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