**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日青岛气温最高？
9月13日青岛气温最高？
28°C 99.4%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,473 交易量
$22,473 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 99.4%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$22,473 交易量
$22,473 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
$183 交易量
<1%
23°C
$168 交易量
<1%
24°C
$227 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,171 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,642 交易量
<1%
27°C
$7,058 交易量
<1%
28°C
$4,207 交易量
99%
29°C
$4,325 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,301 交易量
<1%
31°C
$570 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$622 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$22,473结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,473结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum of 28°C in Qingdao on September 13, 2026, under overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and moderate humidity around 50-60%.** Current observations and model runs show temperatures climbing steadily through the afternoon, peaking near or at 28°C before cooling overnight, consistent with typical early-autumn coastal conditions on the Shandong Peninsula where diurnal ranges are modest. This aligns with the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 28°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous heat or rapid intensification. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected model revisions—such as clearer skies allowing greater solar heating—or localized measurement differences at official stations, though current guidance shows low uncertainty in the peak value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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