Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle highlights variable overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal passage, keeping the September 14 minimum centered near the mid-50s°F. Marine-layer influence and residual moisture from earlier rain suppress sharp temperature drops, while any brief clearing could allow lows to dip toward 50°F or below. Conversely, sustained cloud cover and mixing limit further cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 53°F, but short-range model spread on exact cloud timing and wind speeds creates genuine uncertainty between sub-48°F and mid-60s°F scenarios, sustaining the near-even market split on the extremes. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日西雅图最低气温?
47华氏度或更低 99%
66华氏度或更高 98%
56-57°F 40%
58-59°F 40%
47华氏度或更低
99%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66华氏度或更高
98%
47华氏度或更低 99%
66华氏度或更高 98%
56-57°F 40%
58-59°F 40%
47华氏度或更低
99%
48-49°F
39%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
39%
66华氏度或更高
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Seattle highlights variable overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal passage, keeping the September 14 minimum centered near the mid-50s°F. Marine-layer influence and residual moisture from earlier rain suppress sharp temperature drops, while any brief clearing could allow lows to dip toward 50°F or below. Conversely, sustained cloud cover and mixing limit further cooling. Historical September climatology shows typical overnight lows near 53°F, but short-range model spread on exact cloud timing and wind speeds creates genuine uncertainty between sub-48°F and mid-60s°F scenarios, sustaining the near-even market split on the extremes. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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