Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei's daily high on September 12 will reach 32°C amid easterly winds of 15–30 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and light shower activity that limits but does not suppress peak heating. This aligns with late-summer climatological norms near 31°C and current station readings climbing steadily through the afternoon. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and forecast agreement. A realistic challenge would require sustained heavier cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift that enhances mixing and curbs insolation enough to cap the high at 31°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日台北气温最高?
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,424 交易量
$56,424 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C或以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$56,424 交易量
$56,424 交易量
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from sources such as the Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei's daily high on September 12 will reach 32°C amid easterly winds of 15–30 km/h, partly cloudy skies, and light shower activity that limits but does not suppress peak heating. This aligns with late-summer climatological norms near 31°C and current station readings climbing steadily through the afternoon. The near-certain market-implied odds reflect this strong observational and forecast agreement. A realistic challenge would require sustained heavier cloud cover or an unexpected wind shift that enhances mixing and curbs insolation enough to cap the high at 31°C or below.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题