**Close odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 14 showing typical southwest monsoon conditions, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 31–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers.** Persistent convective activity and high humidity (often 75–85%) suppress intense solar heating, while light westerly winds limit advection of warmer air. Official PAGASA data and recent model runs indicate afternoon temperatures commonly reach 30–31°C before cooling with precipitation, aligning with historical September averages of about 31°C. Minor differences in timing or intensity of thunderstorms—driven by local sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and steering patterns—could tip the recorded high slightly higher or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月14日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
33°C 26%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
9%
31°C
30%
32°C
30%
33°C
26%
34°C
16%
35°C
8%
36°C或更高
9%
31°C 30%
32°C 30%
33°C 26%
34°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
12%
30°C
$10 交易量
9%
31°C
$0 交易量
30%
32°C
$0 交易量
30%
33°C
$0 交易量
26%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C
$0 交易量
8%
36°C或更高
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Close odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 14 showing typical southwest monsoon conditions, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 31–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers.** Persistent convective activity and high humidity (often 75–85%) suppress intense solar heating, while light westerly winds limit advection of warmer air. Official PAGASA data and recent model runs indicate afternoon temperatures commonly reach 30–31°C before cooling with precipitation, aligning with historical September averages of about 31°C. Minor differences in timing or intensity of thunderstorms—driven by local sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and steering patterns—could tip the recorded high slightly higher or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$10结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Close odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 14 showing typical southwest monsoon conditions, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 31–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers.** Persistent convective activity and high humidity (often 75–85%) suppress intense solar heating, while light westerly winds limit advection of warmer air. Official PAGASA data and recent model runs indicate afternoon temperatures commonly reach 30–31°C before cooling with precipitation, aligning with historical September averages of about 31°C. Minor differences in timing or intensity of thunderstorms—driven by local sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and steering patterns—could tip the recorded high slightly higher or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET**Close odds between 32°C and 33°C reflect ensemble forecasts for Manila on September 14 showing typical southwest monsoon conditions, with daytime maxima likely peaking near 31–32°C amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers.** Persistent convective activity and high humidity (often 75–85%) suppress intense solar heating, while light westerly winds limit advection of warmer air. Official PAGASA data and recent model runs indicate afternoon temperatures commonly reach 30–31°C before cooling with precipitation, aligning with historical September averages of about 31°C. Minor differences in timing or intensity of thunderstorms—driven by local sea-surface temperatures near 29°C and steering patterns—could tip the recorded high slightly higher or lower. Updated PAGASA briefings and short-range model consensus over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题