Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to stable westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions keeping Moscow's September 14 daytime maximum near 18–19 °C, slightly above the 16.7 °C climatological average. Light winds and limited moisture support modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses, while overnight lows near 9 °C limit carryover heat. These conditions explain the market-implied odds favoring 19 °C at 44 % over 18 °C at 24 %, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日莫斯科最高气温？
9月14日莫斯科最高气温？
19°C 44%
18°C 24%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
13°C或以下
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
24%
19°C
44%
20°C
19%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C或更高
1%
19°C 44%
18°C 24%
20°C 19%
17°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
13°C或以下
$115 交易量
1%
14°C
$94 交易量
2%
15°C
$44 交易量
5%
16°C
$0 交易量
4%
17°C
$70 交易量
9%
18°C
$96 交易量
24%
19°C
$136 交易量
44%
20°C
$77 交易量
19%
21°C
$106 交易量
3%
22°C
$18 交易量
8%
23°C或更高
$138 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to stable westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions keeping Moscow's September 14 daytime maximum near 18–19 °C, slightly above the 16.7 °C climatological average. Light winds and limited moisture support modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses, while overnight lows near 9 °C limit carryover heat. These conditions explain the market-implied odds favoring 19 °C at 44 % over 18 °C at 24 %, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$894结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to stable westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions keeping Moscow's September 14 daytime maximum near 18–19 °C, slightly above the 16.7 °C climatological average. Light winds and limited moisture support modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses, while overnight lows near 9 °C limit carryover heat. These conditions explain the market-implied odds favoring 19 °C at 44 % over 18 °C at 24 %, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$894结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from models including GFS and guidance from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center points to stable westerly flow and mostly cloudy conditions keeping Moscow's September 14 daytime maximum near 18–19 °C, slightly above the 16.7 °C climatological average. Light winds and limited moisture support modest warming without significant advection of warmer air masses, while overnight lows near 9 °C limit carryover heat. These conditions explain the market-implied odds favoring 19 °C at 44 % over 18 °C at 24 %, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers above 20 °C or below 17 °C that would require unexpected model shifts before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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