Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high in the mid-90s today under mostly sunny skies, with south winds of 5-10 mph and a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs reach about 90°F amid high humidity and heat indices often exceeding 105°F. Model consensus supports temperatures peaking near 95-97°F before any convection develops, positioning the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes at 49% and 30.5% respectively. Afternoon observations and updated model runs will clarify whether isolated storms suppress the daily maximum or allow brief spikes higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日休斯顿的最高温度？
9月12日休斯顿的最高温度？
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 28%
92-93华氏度 19%
98-99华氏度 4.9%
$33,621 交易量
$33,621 交易量
2026-09-12
81华氏度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93华氏度
19%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
28%
98-99华氏度
5%
100华氏度或更高
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 28%
92-93华氏度 19%
98-99华氏度 4.9%
$33,621 交易量
$33,621 交易量
2026-09-12
81华氏度或以下
$1,384 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$620 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$438 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$437 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$1,169 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$4,153 交易量
4%
92-93华氏度
$6,945 交易量
19%
94-95°F
$4,995 交易量
49%
96-97°F
$8,730 交易量
28%
98-99华氏度
$4,385 交易量
5%
100华氏度或更高
$364 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high in the mid-90s today under mostly sunny skies, with south winds of 5-10 mph and a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs reach about 90°F amid high humidity and heat indices often exceeding 105°F. Model consensus supports temperatures peaking near 95-97°F before any convection develops, positioning the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes at 49% and 30.5% respectively. Afternoon observations and updated model runs will clarify whether isolated storms suppress the daily maximum or allow brief spikes higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$33,621结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high in the mid-90s today under mostly sunny skies, with south winds of 5-10 mph and a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs reach about 90°F amid high humidity and heat indices often exceeding 105°F. Model consensus supports temperatures peaking near 95-97°F before any convection develops, positioning the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes at 49% and 30.5% respectively. Afternoon observations and updated model runs will clarify whether isolated storms suppress the daily maximum or allow brief spikes higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,621结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high in the mid-90s today under mostly sunny skies, with south winds of 5-10 mph and a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could limit peak heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, when average highs reach about 90°F amid high humidity and heat indices often exceeding 105°F. Model consensus supports temperatures peaking near 95-97°F before any convection develops, positioning the 94-95°F and 96-97°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes at 49% and 30.5% respectively. Afternoon observations and updated model runs will clarify whether isolated storms suppress the daily maximum or allow brief spikes higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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