**Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as the day's maximum temperature in Warsaw, reflecting real-time observations from local meteorological stations showing a peak near that level under stable high-pressure conditions.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius limited further warming after midday readings reached 18–19°C, consistent with September climatology for the region where daily highs typically range 16–20°C. Official monitoring data through late afternoon confirmed no exceedance of this threshold, aligning with model consensus from sources like GFS that forecasted a modest diurnal rise before cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of significant late-day shifts or measurement revisions at the primary reporting station. A sudden influx of warmer air or station-specific discrepancies could still alter the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日华沙的最高温度？
9月12日华沙的最高温度？
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,235 交易量
$29,235 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$29,235 交易量
$29,235 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
$456 交易量
<1%
16°C
$187 交易量
<1%
17°C
$1,485 交易量
<1%
18°C
$9,634 交易量
<1%
19°C
$6,368 交易量
100%
20°C
$7,905 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,912 交易量
<1%
22°C
$312 交易量
<1%
23°C
$413 交易量
<1%
24°C
$115 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$447 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as the day's maximum temperature in Warsaw, reflecting real-time observations from local meteorological stations showing a peak near that level under stable high-pressure conditions.**
Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius limited further warming after midday readings reached 18–19°C, consistent with September climatology for the region where daily highs typically range 16–20°C. Official monitoring data through late afternoon confirmed no exceedance of this threshold, aligning with model consensus from sources like GFS that forecasted a modest diurnal rise before cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of significant late-day shifts or measurement revisions at the primary reporting station. A sudden influx of warmer air or station-specific discrepancies could still alter the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$29,235结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as the day's maximum temperature in Warsaw, reflecting real-time observations from local meteorological stations showing a peak near that level under stable high-pressure conditions.**
Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius limited further warming after midday readings reached 18–19°C, consistent with September climatology for the region where daily highs typically range 16–20°C. Official monitoring data through late afternoon confirmed no exceedance of this threshold, aligning with model consensus from sources like GFS that forecasted a modest diurnal rise before cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of significant late-day shifts or measurement revisions at the primary reporting station. A sudden influx of warmer air or station-specific discrepancies could still alter the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,235结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as the day's maximum temperature in Warsaw, reflecting real-time observations from local meteorological stations showing a peak near that level under stable high-pressure conditions.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points in the low teens Celsius limited further warming after midday readings reached 18–19°C, consistent with September climatology for the region where daily highs typically range 16–20°C. Official monitoring data through late afternoon confirmed no exceedance of this threshold, aligning with model consensus from sources like GFS that forecasted a modest diurnal rise before cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of significant late-day shifts or measurement revisions at the primary reporting station. A sudden influx of warmer air or station-specific discrepancies could still alter the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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