Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daytime high in Busan on September 12 near 27–29 °C under northeasterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (47.5 %) and 30 °C (36.0 %). Stable high pressure and modest humidity are limiting convective development, while sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms provide little additional warming. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk from delayed cloud cover or localized heating, though overnight clearing could allow the mercury to reach the upper end of the favored range. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance tomorrow morning will be the key data release likely to influence final trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日釜山气温最高？
9月12日釜山气温最高？
29°C 48%
30°C 36%
28°C 8%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
48%
30°C
36%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 36%
28°C 8%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
24°C或以下
$2,446 交易量
<1%
25°C
$353 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$74 交易量
3%
28°C
$49 交易量
8%
29°C
$2,204 交易量
48%
30°C
$832 交易量
36%
31°C
$316 交易量
7%
32°C
$60 交易量
1%
33°C
$21 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$187 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daytime high in Busan on September 12 near 27–29 °C under northeasterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (47.5 %) and 30 °C (36.0 %). Stable high pressure and modest humidity are limiting convective development, while sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms provide little additional warming. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk from delayed cloud cover or localized heating, though overnight clearing could allow the mercury to reach the upper end of the favored range. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance tomorrow morning will be the key data release likely to influence final trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$6,542结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daytime high in Busan on September 12 near 27–29 °C under northeasterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (47.5 %) and 30 °C (36.0 %). Stable high pressure and modest humidity are limiting convective development, while sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms provide little additional warming. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk from delayed cloud cover or localized heating, though overnight clearing could allow the mercury to reach the upper end of the favored range. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance tomorrow morning will be the key data release likely to influence final trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,542结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a daytime high in Busan on September 12 near 27–29 °C under northeasterly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (47.5 %) and 30 °C (36.0 %). Stable high pressure and modest humidity are limiting convective development, while sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms provide little additional warming. Model spread remains modest, with limited upside risk from delayed cloud cover or localized heating, though overnight clearing could allow the mercury to reach the upper end of the favored range. Updated KMA and ECMWF guidance tomorrow morning will be the key data release likely to influence final trader positioning before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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