Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日釜山气温最低？
9月12日釜山气温最低？
15°C或以下 80%
25°C或以上 79%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
80%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
39%
21°C
21%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
15%
25°C或以上
79%
15°C或以下 80%
25°C或以上 79%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
80%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
30%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
21%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
15%
25°C或以上
$0 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional forecasts indicates Busan’s September 12 minimum will likely fall in the low-20s °C range under stable high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits nocturnal cooling. Current runs show overnight lows near 20–22 °C, consistent with climatological September averages around 19–21 °C and no active fronts or tropical systems directly affecting the region. The near-even market split between sub-15 °C and 25 °C+ outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiative cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind, with resolution hinging on the official daily minimum recorded at the primary Busan station. Updated model guidance through the next 48 hours will be the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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