**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature for Toronto on September 12 around 15–16°C, consistent with the historical average low of 14.5°C for the date.** Clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight, light southerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens support modest radiative cooling without significant cold advection. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C, as traders weigh the potential for a slightly cooler reading if skies clear more than expected or winds remain light. The next high-resolution model updates and early-morning observations will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日多伦多最低气温?
10°C或以下 100%
14°C 34%
12°C 27%
13°C 25%
10°C或以下
100%
11°C
18%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
34%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
19%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
10°C或以下 100%
14°C 34%
12°C 27%
13°C 25%
10°C或以下
100%
11°C
18%
12°C
27%
13°C
25%
14°C
34%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
19%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature for Toronto on September 12 around 15–16°C, consistent with the historical average low of 14.5°C for the date.** Clear to partly cloudy conditions overnight, light southerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens support modest radiative cooling without significant cold advection. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements on cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 10–14°C, as traders weigh the potential for a slightly cooler reading if skies clear more than expected or winds remain light. The next high-resolution model updates and early-morning observations will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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