Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over London on September 14, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the highest temperature squarely in the 24–26 °C band, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome at 35.5 % implied probability. Stable high pressure and the absence of stronger Atlantic fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling have kept shorter-range guidance consistent over the past 48 hours, limiting upside potential for 27 °C or higher while capping downside risk below 23 °C. Updated model runs and observational trends through the weekend will refine exact peak timing and any localized urban heat-island effects before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日伦敦气温最高？
9月14日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 35%
27°C或以上 35%
23°C 24%
24°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
18%
25°C
35%
26°C
16%
27°C或以上
35%
25°C 35%
27°C或以上 35%
23°C 24%
24°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$19 交易量
7%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$6 交易量
18%
25°C
$15 交易量
35%
26°C
$210 交易量
16%
27°C或以上
$0 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over London on September 14, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the highest temperature squarely in the 24–26 °C band, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome at 35.5 % implied probability. Stable high pressure and the absence of stronger Atlantic fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling have kept shorter-range guidance consistent over the past 48 hours, limiting upside potential for 27 °C or higher while capping downside risk below 23 °C. Updated model runs and observational trends through the weekend will refine exact peak timing and any localized urban heat-island effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$249结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over London on September 14, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the highest temperature squarely in the 24–26 °C band, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome at 35.5 % implied probability. Stable high pressure and the absence of stronger Atlantic fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling have kept shorter-range guidance consistent over the past 48 hours, limiting upside potential for 27 °C or higher while capping downside risk below 23 °C. Updated model runs and observational trends through the weekend will refine exact peak timing and any localized urban heat-island effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$249结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a mild southwesterly flow over London on September 14, 2026, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This places the highest temperature squarely in the 24–26 °C band, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome at 35.5 % implied probability. Stable high pressure and the absence of stronger Atlantic fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling have kept shorter-range guidance consistent over the past 48 hours, limiting upside potential for 27 °C or higher while capping downside risk below 23 °C. Updated model runs and observational trends through the weekend will refine exact peak timing and any localized urban heat-island effects before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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