Market-implied odds cluster around 22–24°C for London's September 13 maximum, reflecting tight consensus in official forecasts amid genuine uncertainty. The Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, which will reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures compared to clearer conditions. Westerly winds around 10 mph and high humidity further moderate warming, while timing of any breaks in cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this 24-hour market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日伦敦气温最高？
9月13日伦敦气温最高？
23°C 38%
22°C 31%
24°C 18%
21°C 9.9%
最新
$12,193 交易量
最新
$12,193 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
10%
22°C
31%
23°C
38%
24°C
18%
25°C
4%
26°C或更高
<1%
23°C 38%
22°C 31%
24°C 18%
21°C 9.9%
最新
$12,193 交易量
最新
$12,193 交易量
2026-09-13
16°C或以下
$133 交易量
<1%
17°C
$531 交易量
<1%
18°C
$383 交易量
<1%
19°C
$147 交易量
1%
20°C
$819 交易量
2%
21°C
$1,261 交易量
10%
22°C
$1,965 交易量
31%
23°C
$3,482 交易量
38%
24°C
$2,062 交易量
18%
25°C
$869 交易量
4%
26°C或更高
$539 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster around 22–24°C for London's September 13 maximum, reflecting tight consensus in official forecasts amid genuine uncertainty. The Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, which will reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures compared to clearer conditions. Westerly winds around 10 mph and high humidity further moderate warming, while timing of any breaks in cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this 24-hour market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$12,193结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds cluster around 22–24°C for London's September 13 maximum, reflecting tight consensus in official forecasts amid genuine uncertainty. The Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, which will reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures compared to clearer conditions. Westerly winds around 10 mph and high humidity further moderate warming, while timing of any breaks in cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this 24-hour market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,193结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETMarket-implied odds cluster around 22–24°C for London's September 13 maximum, reflecting tight consensus in official forecasts amid genuine uncertainty. The Met Office and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, which will reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures compared to clearer conditions. Westerly winds around 10 mph and high humidity further moderate warming, while timing of any breaks in cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly, but updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for this 24-hour market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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