Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Paris today under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high sits near 22°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the daily maximum, with afternoon readings expected to reach the upper end of the range before cooling under clearing evening skies. Trader positioning at 61.5% for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C reflects this consensus on official station data, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below capture residual uncertainty from any localized measurement variations or minor forecast adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日巴黎气温最高？
9月12日巴黎气温最高？
25°C 62%
26°C 28%
24°C 10%
23°C 2%
$25,101 交易量
$25,101 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
62%
26°C
28%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 62%
26°C 28%
24°C 10%
23°C 2%
$25,101 交易量
$25,101 交易量
2026-09-12
20°C或以下
$2,519 交易量
1%
21°C
$980 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,033 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,196 交易量
2%
24°C
$4,467 交易量
10%
25°C
$5,417 交易量
62%
26°C
$5,271 交易量
28%
27°C
$1,797 交易量
2%
28°C
$1,294 交易量
<1%
29°C
$897 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$230 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Paris today under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high sits near 22°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the daily maximum, with afternoon readings expected to reach the upper end of the range before cooling under clearing evening skies. Trader positioning at 61.5% for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C reflects this consensus on official station data, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below capture residual uncertainty from any localized measurement variations or minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$25,101结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Paris today under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high sits near 22°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the daily maximum, with afternoon readings expected to reach the upper end of the range before cooling under clearing evening skies. Trader positioning at 61.5% for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C reflects this consensus on official station data, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below capture residual uncertainty from any localized measurement variations or minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,101结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:55 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 25–26°C in Paris today under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. This aligns with above-average conditions for mid-September, when the climatological high sits near 22°C. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the daily maximum, with afternoon readings expected to reach the upper end of the range before cooling under clearing evening skies. Trader positioning at 61.5% for 25°C and 27.5% for 26°C reflects this consensus on official station data, while lower probabilities for 24°C or below capture residual uncertainty from any localized measurement variations or minor forecast adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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