Recent forecast models and surface observations for Paris indicate the overnight minimum on September 12 will reach 12 °C, aligning with the market's 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies have allowed efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 25–26 °C, consistent with guidance from European numerical weather prediction systems. Historical September climatology supports a typical minimum near 12 °C, and current data show no significant warm-air advection or increased cloud cover that would prevent the expected drop. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture or stronger winds before dawn, though model consensus and real-time station trends make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日巴黎最低气温？
9月12日巴黎最低气温？
12°C 99.6%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,046 交易量
$18,046 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
12°C 99.6%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$18,046 交易量
$18,046 交易量
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
$95 交易量
1%
9°C
$15 交易量
1%
10°C
$95 交易量
1%
11°C
$1,172 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,347 交易量
100%
13°C
$11,518 交易量
<1%
14°C
$2,519 交易量
<1%
15°C
$234 交易量
<1%
16°C
$35 交易量
<1%
17°C
$0 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and surface observations for Paris indicate the overnight minimum on September 12 will reach 12 °C, aligning with the market's 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies have allowed efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 25–26 °C, consistent with guidance from European numerical weather prediction systems. Historical September climatology supports a typical minimum near 12 °C, and current data show no significant warm-air advection or increased cloud cover that would prevent the expected drop. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture or stronger winds before dawn, though model consensus and real-time station trends make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$18,046结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and surface observations for Paris indicate the overnight minimum on September 12 will reach 12 °C, aligning with the market's 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies have allowed efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 25–26 °C, consistent with guidance from European numerical weather prediction systems. Historical September climatology supports a typical minimum near 12 °C, and current data show no significant warm-air advection or increased cloud cover that would prevent the expected drop. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture or stronger winds before dawn, though model consensus and real-time station trends make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,046结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecast models and surface observations for Paris indicate the overnight minimum on September 12 will reach 12 °C, aligning with the market's 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies have allowed efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 25–26 °C, consistent with guidance from European numerical weather prediction systems. Historical September climatology supports a typical minimum near 12 °C, and current data show no significant warm-air advection or increased cloud cover that would prevent the expected drop. A realistic challenge would require rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture or stronger winds before dawn, though model consensus and real-time station trends make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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