Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high near 20°C for Toronto on September 14 under sunny skies with northwesterly winds, following weekend warmth and a frontal passage that advects cooler air. This aligns with multiple model runs showing limited diurnal heating and clear conditions, positioning the 20–22°C range as scientifically favored while historical averages for the date stand at 22.4°C. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 24°C or higher likely incorporates residual uncertainty around model spread and potential late adjustments, though near-term data releases from Environment Canada and updated guidance will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日多伦多气温最高?
24°C或更高 42%
19°C 39%
20°C 36%
18°C 26%
14°C或以下
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
36%
21°C
16%
22°C
9%
23℃
13%
24°C或更高
42%
24°C或更高 42%
19°C 39%
20°C 36%
18°C 26%
14°C或以下
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
36%
21°C
16%
22°C
9%
23℃
13%
24°C或更高
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high near 20°C for Toronto on September 14 under sunny skies with northwesterly winds, following weekend warmth and a frontal passage that advects cooler air. This aligns with multiple model runs showing limited diurnal heating and clear conditions, positioning the 20–22°C range as scientifically favored while historical averages for the date stand at 22.4°C. Trader consensus reflected in the elevated implied probability for 24°C or higher likely incorporates residual uncertainty around model spread and potential late adjustments, though near-term data releases from Environment Canada and updated guidance will refine resolution odds ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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