Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in São Paulo on September 14, 2026, locking in the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent heavy rainfall—already pushing the month toward record totals more than three times the climatological average—combined with extensive cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air kept temperatures well below seasonal norms. Model guidance and surface observations showed limited diurnal warming under overcast skies, with highs consistently reported in the mid-teens Celsius. While minor station differences or rounding conventions could theoretically affect resolution, the consensus across official networks leaves little realistic room for deviation from 16°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日圣保罗的最高温度？
9月14日圣保罗的最高温度？
16°C 100%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,284 交易量
$33,284 交易量
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
16°C 100%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,284 交易量
$33,284 交易量
2026-09-14
14°C或以下
$4,251 交易量
否
15°C
$4,314 交易量
否
16°C
$6,481 交易量
是
17°C
$4,906 交易量
否
18°C
$3,898 交易量
否
19°C
$2,362 交易量
否
20°C
$1,568 交易量
否
21°C
$649 交易量
否
22°C
$1,636 交易量
否
23°C
$1,568 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$1,652 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in São Paulo on September 14, 2026, locking in the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent heavy rainfall—already pushing the month toward record totals more than three times the climatological average—combined with extensive cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air kept temperatures well below seasonal norms. Model guidance and surface observations showed limited diurnal warming under overcast skies, with highs consistently reported in the mid-teens Celsius. While minor station differences or rounding conventions could theoretically affect resolution, the consensus across official networks leaves little realistic room for deviation from 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$33,284结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in São Paulo on September 14, 2026, locking in the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent heavy rainfall—already pushing the month toward record totals more than three times the climatological average—combined with extensive cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air kept temperatures well below seasonal norms. Model guidance and surface observations showed limited diurnal warming under overcast skies, with highs consistently reported in the mid-teens Celsius. While minor station differences or rounding conventions could theoretically affect resolution, the consensus across official networks leaves little realistic room for deviation from 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,284结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in São Paulo on September 14, 2026, locking in the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent heavy rainfall—already pushing the month toward record totals more than three times the climatological average—combined with extensive cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air kept temperatures well below seasonal norms. Model guidance and surface observations showed limited diurnal warming under overcast skies, with highs consistently reported in the mid-teens Celsius. While minor station differences or rounding conventions could theoretically affect resolution, the consensus across official networks leaves little realistic room for deviation from 16°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题