Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月25日奥斯汀的最高温度？
96-97°F 35%
98-99华氏度 32%
102-103°F 31%
92-93°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
87°F或以下
5%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
35%
98-99华氏度
32%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
31%
104-105°F
25%
106°F或更高
6%
96-97°F 35%
98-99华氏度 32%
102-103°F 31%
92-93°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
87°F或以下
$0 交易量
5%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
6%
90-91°F
$11 交易量
8%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
29%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
26%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
35%
98-99华氏度
$0 交易量
32%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
15%
102-103°F
$0 交易量
31%
104-105°F
$0 交易量
25%
106°F或更高
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$11结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 3:56 AM ETPersistent high pressure and a strong heat dome over the southern Plains have sustained above-normal temperatures across Central Texas through late September, with Austin seeing multiple days near or above 100°F earlier in the month. Short-range models from the National Weather Service and private forecasters currently converge on highs of 95–97°F for September 25 under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, well above the seasonal average near 90°F but below the extreme 106°F+ threshold. A potential influx of drier air from the northeast could modestly lower dew points and limit afternoon heating, while any delay in pattern weakening would support continued upper-90s readings. This narrow window between amplified ridge persistence and subtle frontal influences creates the observed market split between tail outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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