Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas will limit cloud cover and radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 73–76°F for Austin on September 25 with low precipitation chances under easterly flow. This setup creates tight clustering around mid-70s values while allowing modest spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which traders weigh against historical September minima near 65°F and recent above-normal warmth. With resolution hinging on the official daily minimum observation, upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs plus NWS local briefings will refine the implied probabilities for the coldest and warmest bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日奥斯汀最低气温？
9月25日奥斯汀最低气温？
65°F或以下 99%
84°F或更高 98%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
65°F或以下
99%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
40%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84°F或更高
98%
65°F或以下 99%
84°F或更高 98%
70-71°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-25
65°F或以下
$0 交易量
99%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
39%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
39%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
40%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
40%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
39%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
39%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
39%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
39%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
39%
84°F或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas will limit cloud cover and radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 73–76°F for Austin on September 25 with low precipitation chances under easterly flow. This setup creates tight clustering around mid-70s values while allowing modest spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which traders weigh against historical September minima near 65°F and recent above-normal warmth. With resolution hinging on the official daily minimum observation, upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs plus NWS local briefings will refine the implied probabilities for the coldest and warmest bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from NOAA models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas will limit cloud cover and radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 73–76°F for Austin on September 25 with low precipitation chances under easterly flow. This setup creates tight clustering around mid-70s values while allowing modest spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which traders weigh against historical September minima near 65°F and recent above-normal warmth. With resolution hinging on the official daily minimum observation, upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs plus NWS local briefings will refine the implied probabilities for the coldest and warmest bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-25市场开放时间
Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from NOAA models indicate a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas will limit cloud cover and radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows near 73–76°F for Austin on September 25 with low precipitation chances under easterly flow. This setup creates tight clustering around mid-70s values while allowing modest spread from variable boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds, which traders weigh against historical September minima near 65°F and recent above-normal warmth. With resolution hinging on the official daily minimum observation, upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs plus NWS local briefings will refine the implied probabilities for the coldest and warmest bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题