Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a Friday high near 92–94°F for Dallas under easterly flow and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-September climatology averaging 87°F. This positions mid-90s ranges as the baseline, while the near-even market odds on 104°F+ versus 85°F or below reflect trader focus on potential forecast busts from subtle variables such as boundary-layer moisture, exact cloud cover, or minor steering-pattern shifts that could suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official updates from the NWS Dallas/Fort Worth office and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities around observed trends rather than extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日达拉斯的最高温度?
86-87华氏度 39%
88-89°F 25%
90-91°F 22%
92-93°F 20%
85华氏度或以下
8%
86-87华氏度
39%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
6%
104华氏度或更高
5%
86-87华氏度 39%
88-89°F 25%
90-91°F 22%
92-93°F 20%
85华氏度或以下
8%
86-87华氏度
39%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
22%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
15%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
7%
102-103°F
6%
104华氏度或更高
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a Friday high near 92–94°F for Dallas under easterly flow and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, consistent with late-September climatology averaging 87°F. This positions mid-90s ranges as the baseline, while the near-even market odds on 104°F+ versus 85°F or below reflect trader focus on potential forecast busts from subtle variables such as boundary-layer moisture, exact cloud cover, or minor steering-pattern shifts that could suppress or enhance daytime heating. Official updates from the NWS Dallas/Fort Worth office and revised model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten implied probabilities around observed trends rather than extremes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题