Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological models indicate Miami highs on September 25 will likely fall in the upper 80s, driven by a stable subtropical pattern with northerly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm chances that often limit peak heating. Historical September averages near 88–89 °F provide context, yet current model consensus shows slightly cooler conditions than recent early-month readings in the low 90s. This scientific uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima, combined with the short two-day horizon before resolution, supports the market’s emphasis on the 90–91 °F bin as the leading outcome while keeping adjacent ranges competitive. Updated model runs and official observations on the 24th and 25th remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月25日迈阿密气温最高?
90-91°F 49%
88-89°F 36%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 17%
75华氏度或以下
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
49%
92-93°F
17%
94华氏度或更高
8%
90-91°F 49%
88-89°F 36%
86-87°F 19%
92-93°F 17%
75华氏度或以下
3%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
49%
92-93°F
17%
94华氏度或更高
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and multiple meteorological models indicate Miami highs on September 25 will likely fall in the upper 80s, driven by a stable subtropical pattern with northerly flow, moderate humidity, and afternoon thunderstorm chances that often limit peak heating. Historical September averages near 88–89 °F provide context, yet current model consensus shows slightly cooler conditions than recent early-month readings in the low 90s. This scientific uncertainty around exact afternoon maxima, combined with the short two-day horizon before resolution, supports the market’s emphasis on the 90–91 °F bin as the leading outcome while keeping adjacent ranges competitive. Updated model runs and official observations on the 24th and 25th remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题