A warming trend driven by a building upper-level ridge, weak offshore flow, and a shrinking marine layer is the main factor lifting trader-implied odds for 78–81 °F on September 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show heights rising toward 582 dam with reduced onshore flow, limiting morning low clouds and allowing stronger daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin. This setup has produced recent daily highs 3–8 °F above the late-September climatological average of ~76 °F at LAX, with many short-range forecasts centering on 80–85 °F. Market pricing clusters near the lower end of that range, reflecting uncertainty in exact coastal-inland gradients and the possibility that lingering marine influence or model spread could cap the peak slightly below the warmest guidance. Updated NWS and GFS runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日洛杉矶气温最高？
9月23日洛杉矶气温最高？
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 6%
最新
$11,434 交易量
最新
$11,434 交易量
2026-09-23
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75华氏度
1%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
78-79°F 49%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 6%
最新
$11,434 交易量
最新
$11,434 交易量
2026-09-23
71°F或以下
$200 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$548 交易量
<1%
74-75华氏度
$676 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$3,125 交易量
16%
78-79°F
$1,795 交易量
49%
80-81°F
$2,262 交易量
30%
82-83°F
$989 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$745 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$878 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$110 交易量
<1%
90°F或更高
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warming trend driven by a building upper-level ridge, weak offshore flow, and a shrinking marine layer is the main factor lifting trader-implied odds for 78–81 °F on September 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show heights rising toward 582 dam with reduced onshore flow, limiting morning low clouds and allowing stronger daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin. This setup has produced recent daily highs 3–8 °F above the late-September climatological average of ~76 °F at LAX, with many short-range forecasts centering on 80–85 °F. Market pricing clusters near the lower end of that range, reflecting uncertainty in exact coastal-inland gradients and the possibility that lingering marine influence or model spread could cap the peak slightly below the warmest guidance. Updated NWS and GFS runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,434结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warming trend driven by a building upper-level ridge, weak offshore flow, and a shrinking marine layer is the main factor lifting trader-implied odds for 78–81 °F on September 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show heights rising toward 582 dam with reduced onshore flow, limiting morning low clouds and allowing stronger daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin. This setup has produced recent daily highs 3–8 °F above the late-September climatological average of ~76 °F at LAX, with many short-range forecasts centering on 80–85 °F. Market pricing clusters near the lower end of that range, reflecting uncertainty in exact coastal-inland gradients and the possibility that lingering marine influence or model spread could cap the peak slightly below the warmest guidance. Updated NWS and GFS runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,434结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETA warming trend driven by a building upper-level ridge, weak offshore flow, and a shrinking marine layer is the main factor lifting trader-implied odds for 78–81 °F on September 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show heights rising toward 582 dam with reduced onshore flow, limiting morning low clouds and allowing stronger daytime heating across the Los Angeles basin. This setup has produced recent daily highs 3–8 °F above the late-September climatological average of ~76 °F at LAX, with many short-range forecasts centering on 80–85 °F. Market pricing clusters near the lower end of that range, reflecting uncertainty in exact coastal-inland gradients and the possibility that lingering marine influence or model spread could cap the peak slightly below the warmest guidance. Updated NWS and GFS runs tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs before the daily maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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