Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C in Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by a strengthening northerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a surface trough, combined with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This setup aligns with the market-implied odds concentrating on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and historical spring variability in the region. Minor model spread around peak heating and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage supports limited downside risk below 23°C. Updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
9月24日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
25°C 47%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
23%
25°C
47%
26°C
24%
27°C
7%
28°C或更高
4%
25°C 47%
26°C 24%
24°C 23%
23°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$105 交易量
<1%
20°C
$105 交易量
<1%
21°C
$7 交易量
3%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$9 交易量
9%
24°C
$0 交易量
23%
25°C
$20 交易量
47%
26°C
$0 交易量
24%
27°C
$40 交易量
7%
28°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C in Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by a strengthening northerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a surface trough, combined with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This setup aligns with the market-implied odds concentrating on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and historical spring variability in the region. Minor model spread around peak heating and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage supports limited downside risk below 23°C. Updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$285结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C in Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by a strengthening northerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a surface trough, combined with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This setup aligns with the market-implied odds concentrating on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and historical spring variability in the region. Minor model spread around peak heating and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage supports limited downside risk below 23°C. Updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$285结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETForecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and European ensembles indicate a high of 23–24°C in Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by a strengthening northerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a surface trough, combined with mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This setup aligns with the market-implied odds concentrating on 24°C and 25°C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and historical spring variability in the region. Minor model spread around peak heating and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passage supports limited downside risk below 23°C. Updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题