Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs indicate scattered showers and easterly flow will likely limit peak temperatures on September 22 to the 30–31°C range, with 31°C carrying the highest market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around afternoon maxima, as brief clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C while persistent convection would favor 30°C or lower. Historical late-September baselines near 30°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 24–26°C suggest modest deviation. Traders will monitor updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the day for resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日香港气温最高？
9月22日香港气温最高？
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
35%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 28%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
25°C或以下
$10 交易量
2%
26°C
$129 交易量
1%
27°C
$40 交易量
2%
28°C
$51 交易量
4%
29°C
$20 交易量
11%
30°C
$244 交易量
28%
31°C
$171 交易量
35%
32°C
$123 交易量
18%
33°C
$101 交易量
5%
34°C
$130 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$311 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs indicate scattered showers and easterly flow will likely limit peak temperatures on September 22 to the 30–31°C range, with 31°C carrying the highest market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around afternoon maxima, as brief clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C while persistent convection would favor 30°C or lower. Historical late-September baselines near 30°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 24–26°C suggest modest deviation. Traders will monitor updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the day for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,331结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs indicate scattered showers and easterly flow will likely limit peak temperatures on September 22 to the 30–31°C range, with 31°C carrying the highest market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around afternoon maxima, as brief clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C while persistent convection would favor 30°C or lower. Historical late-September baselines near 30°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 24–26°C suggest modest deviation. Traders will monitor updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the day for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,331结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs indicate scattered showers and easterly flow will likely limit peak temperatures on September 22 to the 30–31°C range, with 31°C carrying the highest market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty around afternoon maxima, as brief clearing could allow brief warming toward 32°C while persistent convection would favor 30°C or lower. Historical late-September baselines near 30°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 24–26°C suggest modest deviation. Traders will monitor updated HKO briefings and real-time station data through the day for resolution signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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