The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 31°C daily maximum on September 18, measured at the primary station under clear, sunny conditions with light winds. This outcome aligns with observed afternoon peaks in a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for mid-September, where radiative heating and minimal cloud cover allow temperatures to reach or exceed the seasonal climatological normal of around 30–31°C. Trader consensus treats the verified HKO data as definitive for market resolution, leaving negligible room for alternative readings. A realistic shift would require a post-publication data revision from the observatory or a change in the precise measurement site or averaging method used for settlement, though such adjustments are rare once initial observations are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日香港气温最高？
9月18日香港气温最高？
31°C 99.9%
32°C <1%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$149,467 交易量
$149,467 交易量
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 99.9%
32°C <1%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$149,467 交易量
$149,467 交易量
2026-09-18
25°C或以下
$4,101 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,687 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,711 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,524 交易量
<1%
29°C
$10,993 交易量
<1%
30°C
$18,512 交易量
<1%
31°C
$58,351 交易量
100%
32°C
$32,251 交易量
<1%
33°C
$14,255 交易量
<1%
34°C
$3,576 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$1,506 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 31°C daily maximum on September 18, measured at the primary station under clear, sunny conditions with light winds. This outcome aligns with observed afternoon peaks in a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for mid-September, where radiative heating and minimal cloud cover allow temperatures to reach or exceed the seasonal climatological normal of around 30–31°C. Trader consensus treats the verified HKO data as definitive for market resolution, leaving negligible room for alternative readings. A realistic shift would require a post-publication data revision from the observatory or a change in the precise measurement site or averaging method used for settlement, though such adjustments are rare once initial observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$149,467结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 31°C daily maximum on September 18, measured at the primary station under clear, sunny conditions with light winds. This outcome aligns with observed afternoon peaks in a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for mid-September, where radiative heating and minimal cloud cover allow temperatures to reach or exceed the seasonal climatological normal of around 30–31°C. Trader consensus treats the verified HKO data as definitive for market resolution, leaving negligible room for alternative readings. A realistic shift would require a post-publication data revision from the observatory or a change in the precise measurement site or averaging method used for settlement, though such adjustments are rare once initial observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$149,467结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThe market-implied odds reflect the Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 31°C daily maximum on September 18, measured at the primary station under clear, sunny conditions with light winds. This outcome aligns with observed afternoon peaks in a stable subtropical high-pressure pattern typical for mid-September, where radiative heating and minimal cloud cover allow temperatures to reach or exceed the seasonal climatological normal of around 30–31°C. Trader consensus treats the verified HKO data as definitive for market resolution, leaving negligible room for alternative readings. A realistic shift would require a post-publication data revision from the observatory or a change in the precise measurement site or averaging method used for settlement, though such adjustments are rare once initial observations are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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