Trader consensus on a 31°C high for Panama City on September 21 reflects direct observational data from regional monitoring networks showing afternoon peaks at that level amid typical late-wet-season conditions. Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, combined with light winds and high humidity, limited overnight cooling and supported daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 30–31°C. Official station reports and model analyses aligned closely without significant discrepancies, reinforcing market-implied odds above 99%. A realistic challenge would require revised post-event quality control from primary sources like Panama’s meteorological service or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the reference station, though such adjustments remain unlikely given consistent multi-source agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日巴拿马城气温最高?
31°C 100%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,391 交易量
$21,391 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
31°C 100%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,391 交易量
$21,391 交易量
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on a 31°C high for Panama City on September 21 reflects direct observational data from regional monitoring networks showing afternoon peaks at that level amid typical late-wet-season conditions. Persistent moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, combined with light winds and high humidity, limited overnight cooling and supported daytime maxima near the September climatological average of 30–31°C. Official station reports and model analyses aligned closely without significant discrepancies, reinforcing market-implied odds above 99%. A realistic challenge would require revised post-event quality control from primary sources like Panama’s meteorological service or an unrecognized microclimate effect at the reference station, though such adjustments remain unlikely given consistent multi-source agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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