**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日华沙的最高温度？
9月26日华沙的最高温度？
18°C 38%
17°C 32%
16°C 24%
19°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
11°C或以下
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
17%
16°C
24%
17°C
32%
18°C
38%
19°C
21%
20°C
16%
21°C或更高
10%
18°C 38%
17°C 32%
16°C 24%
19°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
12°C
$0 交易量
4%
13°C
$0 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
5%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C
$0 交易量
24%
17°C
$0 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
38%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题