**Short-term forecast model runs show the greatest uncertainty in Shenzhen's maximum temperature for September 26, producing closely matched market odds from 29–36 °C.** Recent observations indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 32–33 °C under easterly flow associated with the northeast monsoon, while isolated showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks several degrees lower. Conversely, clearer skies and stronger solar heating in the subtropical environment could push readings toward the upper end of the range. Late-September climatology for the region centers near 31 °C with typical day-to-day variability of 3–5 °C driven by monsoon transitions, sea-breeze effects, and urban heat retention. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月26日深圳气温最高？
9月26日深圳气温最高？
30°C 29%
32°C 28%
33°C 28%
29°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
27°C或以下
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
28%
30°C
29%
31°C
23%
32°C
28%
33°C
28%
34°C
18%
35°C
15%
36°C
18%
37°C或更高
3%
30°C 29%
32°C 28%
33°C 28%
29°C 28%
最新
最新
2026-09-26
27°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
28%
30°C
$0 交易量
29%
31°C
$0 交易量
23%
32°C
$0 交易量
28%
33°C
$0 交易量
28%
34°C
$0 交易量
18%
35°C
$0 交易量
15%
36°C
$0 交易量
18%
37°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast model runs show the greatest uncertainty in Shenzhen's maximum temperature for September 26, producing closely matched market odds from 29–36 °C.**
Recent observations indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 32–33 °C under easterly flow associated with the northeast monsoon, while isolated showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks several degrees lower. Conversely, clearer skies and stronger solar heating in the subtropical environment could push readings toward the upper end of the range. Late-September climatology for the region centers near 31 °C with typical day-to-day variability of 3–5 °C driven by monsoon transitions, sea-breeze effects, and urban heat retention. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast model runs show the greatest uncertainty in Shenzhen's maximum temperature for September 26, producing closely matched market odds from 29–36 °C.**
Recent observations indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 32–33 °C under easterly flow associated with the northeast monsoon, while isolated showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks several degrees lower. Conversely, clearer skies and stronger solar heating in the subtropical environment could push readings toward the upper end of the range. Late-September climatology for the region centers near 31 °C with typical day-to-day variability of 3–5 °C driven by monsoon transitions, sea-breeze effects, and urban heat retention. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-26市场开放时间
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Short-term forecast model runs show the greatest uncertainty in Shenzhen's maximum temperature for September 26, producing closely matched market odds from 29–36 °C.** Recent observations indicate partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 32–33 °C under easterly flow associated with the northeast monsoon, while isolated showers or increased cloud cover could cap peaks several degrees lower. Conversely, clearer skies and stronger solar heating in the subtropical environment could push readings toward the upper end of the range. Late-September climatology for the region centers near 31 °C with typical day-to-day variability of 3–5 °C driven by monsoon transitions, sea-breeze effects, and urban heat retention. Updated numerical guidance and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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