The recent passage of Typhoon Dujuan near eastern Japan has introduced cooler, moister air and increased cloud cover over the Kanto region, serving as the primary driver for trader consensus around a 27–29°C high on September 24. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to cloudy conditions with a 30–40% chance of scattered showers and a maximum near 26–28°C, consistent with post-storm stabilization and typical late-September climatology of 25.3°C. Ensemble models show limited warming potential under northerly flow and persistent marine influence, narrowing resolution odds while highlighting sensitivity to any unexpected clearing or residual moisture. Updated JMA forecasts and next model runs will clarify shifts before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日东京气温最高?
28°C 38%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
31°C 16%
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
14%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 38%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
31°C 16%
23°C或以下
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
14%
27°C
26%
28°C
38%
29°C
18%
30°C
14%
31°C
16%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The recent passage of Typhoon Dujuan near eastern Japan has introduced cooler, moister air and increased cloud cover over the Kanto region, serving as the primary driver for trader consensus around a 27–29°C high on September 24. Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to cloudy conditions with a 30–40% chance of scattered showers and a maximum near 26–28°C, consistent with post-storm stabilization and typical late-September climatology of 25.3°C. Ensemble models show limited warming potential under northerly flow and persistent marine influence, narrowing resolution odds while highlighting sensitivity to any unexpected clearing or residual moisture. Updated JMA forecasts and next model runs will clarify shifts before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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