Latest short-range model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow for Cape Town on September 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in the 23–25°C range amid seasonal spring variability. Recent warmth, with highs near 29°C on September 22, has elevated trader focus on upside potential, though increasing cloud cover and cooler maritime air are expected to limit peaks. Model spread on exact afternoon maxima and any late warming creates uncertainty, keeping 27°C or higher as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability while clustering support around 24–26°C outcomes. Updated regional forecasts and observational data ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日开普敦气温最高？
9月24日开普敦气温最高？
27°C或更高 37%
24°C 19%
26°C 17%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C或更高
37%
27°C或更高 37%
24°C 19%
26°C 17%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
17°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$95 交易量
<1%
19°C
$785 交易量
<1%
20°C
$44 交易量
4%
21°C
$61 交易量
4%
22°C
$99 交易量
5%
23°C
$15 交易量
8%
24°C
$0 交易量
19%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
17%
27°C或更高
$158 交易量
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow for Cape Town on September 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in the 23–25°C range amid seasonal spring variability. Recent warmth, with highs near 29°C on September 22, has elevated trader focus on upside potential, though increasing cloud cover and cooler maritime air are expected to limit peaks. Model spread on exact afternoon maxima and any late warming creates uncertainty, keeping 27°C or higher as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability while clustering support around 24–26°C outcomes. Updated regional forecasts and observational data ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,257结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow for Cape Town on September 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in the 23–25°C range amid seasonal spring variability. Recent warmth, with highs near 29°C on September 22, has elevated trader focus on upside potential, though increasing cloud cover and cooler maritime air are expected to limit peaks. Model spread on exact afternoon maxima and any late warming creates uncertainty, keeping 27°C or higher as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability while clustering support around 24–26°C outcomes. Updated regional forecasts and observational data ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,257结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETLatest short-range model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF show mostly cloudy conditions and moderate southwesterly flow for Cape Town on September 24, supporting daily maximum temperatures in the 23–25°C range amid seasonal spring variability. Recent warmth, with highs near 29°C on September 22, has elevated trader focus on upside potential, though increasing cloud cover and cooler maritime air are expected to limit peaks. Model spread on exact afternoon maxima and any late warming creates uncertainty, keeping 27°C or higher as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability while clustering support around 24–26°C outcomes. Updated regional forecasts and observational data ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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