Recent forecast model runs for Cape Town show overnight lows centered around 15–17°C on September 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, keeping most guidance above 14°C while a few cooler solutions dip toward 12–13°C. This narrow spread between mild and cooler scenarios drives the near-even market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh Atlantic high-pressure stability against potential cold-air advection from the interior. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong frontal systems support the higher baseline. Updated South African Weather Service observations and final model guidance tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日开普敦最低温度？
9月24日开普敦最低温度？
10°C或以下 94%
20°C或更高 94%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
10°C或以下
94%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
39%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
23%
17°C
21%
18°C
39%
19°C
3%
20°C或更高
94%
10°C或以下 94%
20°C或更高 94%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
94%
11°C
$0 交易量
17%
12°C
$0 交易量
17%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
23%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
3%
20°C或更高
$0 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Cape Town show overnight lows centered around 15–17°C on September 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, keeping most guidance above 14°C while a few cooler solutions dip toward 12–13°C. This narrow spread between mild and cooler scenarios drives the near-even market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh Atlantic high-pressure stability against potential cold-air advection from the interior. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong frontal systems support the higher baseline. Updated South African Weather Service observations and final model guidance tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Cape Town show overnight lows centered around 15–17°C on September 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, keeping most guidance above 14°C while a few cooler solutions dip toward 12–13°C. This narrow spread between mild and cooler scenarios drives the near-even market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh Atlantic high-pressure stability against potential cold-air advection from the interior. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong frontal systems support the higher baseline. Updated South African Weather Service observations and final model guidance tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast model runs for Cape Town show overnight lows centered around 15–17°C on September 24 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, keeping most guidance above 14°C while a few cooler solutions dip toward 12–13°C. This narrow spread between mild and cooler scenarios drives the near-even market split between sub-10°C and 20°C+ outcomes, as traders weigh Atlantic high-pressure stability against potential cold-air advection from the interior. Historical September minima average near 10°C, but current sea-surface temperatures and lack of strong frontal systems support the higher baseline. Updated South African Weather Service observations and final model guidance tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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