Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a high-pressure ridge dominating western Europe, promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 23, with light northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.4°C. This setup, combined with minimal precipitation signals under 5% and stable pressure around 30.1–30.2 inches, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 50.5% and 25°C at 40.5% implied probability. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs show little day-to-day shift, though slight model spread in cloud cover could trim peaks by 1°C if thicker afternoon buildups develop. Traders appear to price in the warm anomaly persisting through the short-term window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日巴黎气温最高？
9月23日巴黎气温最高？
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
24°C 9%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
44%
26°C
44%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
2%
25°C 44%
26°C 44%
24°C 9%
27°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
21°C或以下
$5 交易量
2%
22°C
$15 交易量
2%
23°C
$17 交易量
2%
24°C
$544 交易量
9%
25°C
$670 交易量
44%
26°C
$2,072 交易量
44%
27°C
$215 交易量
6%
28°C
$178 交易量
2%
29°C
$25 交易量
2%
30°C
$15 交易量
2%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a high-pressure ridge dominating western Europe, promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 23, with light northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.4°C. This setup, combined with minimal precipitation signals under 5% and stable pressure around 30.1–30.2 inches, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 50.5% and 25°C at 40.5% implied probability. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs show little day-to-day shift, though slight model spread in cloud cover could trim peaks by 1°C if thicker afternoon buildups develop. Traders appear to price in the warm anomaly persisting through the short-term window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,329结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from global models points to a high-pressure ridge dominating western Europe, promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 23, with light northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.4°C. This setup, combined with minimal precipitation signals under 5% and stable pressure around 30.1–30.2 inches, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 50.5% and 25°C at 40.5% implied probability. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs show little day-to-day shift, though slight model spread in cloud cover could trim peaks by 1°C if thicker afternoon buildups develop. Traders appear to price in the warm anomaly persisting through the short-term window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,329结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from global models points to a high-pressure ridge dominating western Europe, promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies over Paris on September 23, with light northeasterly winds limiting moisture and supporting daytime highs near 25–26°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.4°C. This setup, combined with minimal precipitation signals under 5% and stable pressure around 30.1–30.2 inches, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26°C at 50.5% and 25°C at 40.5% implied probability. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs show little day-to-day shift, though slight model spread in cloud cover could trim peaks by 1°C if thicker afternoon buildups develop. Traders appear to price in the warm anomaly persisting through the short-term window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题