Trader consensus centers on 23–24°C highs for Chongqing on September 21 amid widespread cloud cover and showers that limit daytime heating. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent moisture and light winds under a subtropical high-pressure influence, keeping maximum temperatures below the seasonal 27°C average. Differentiation between 23°C and 24°C outcomes hinges on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, as heavier rain periods suppress surface warming more effectively than brief showers. Ensemble variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud thickness creates the narrow spread, with 25°C possible only if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation during peak afternoon hours. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日重庆气温最高?
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
$10,509 交易量
$10,509 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
13%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28℃或更高
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
25°C 20%
22°C 13%
$10,509 交易量
$10,509 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
13%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28℃或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 23–24°C highs for Chongqing on September 21 amid widespread cloud cover and showers that limit daytime heating. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent moisture and light winds under a subtropical high-pressure influence, keeping maximum temperatures below the seasonal 27°C average. Differentiation between 23°C and 24°C outcomes hinges on the precise timing and intensity of precipitation, as heavier rain periods suppress surface warming more effectively than brief showers. Ensemble variability in boundary-layer moisture and cloud thickness creates the narrow spread, with 25°C possible only if breaks in cloud cover allow greater insolation during peak afternoon hours. Updated model runs from regional meteorological centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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