Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月20日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
19°C 55%
20°C 27%
18°C 19%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
11%
18°C
14%
19°C
55%
20°C
27%
21°C
10%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 55%
20°C 27%
18°C 19%
17°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
4%
17°C
$8 交易量
11%
18°C
$6 交易量
14%
19°C
$36 交易量
55%
20°C
$4 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$54结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$54结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts guidance, indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 20 under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus positions 19°C as the leading market outcome at 54.5% implied probability, with 20°C as a plausible upside scenario at 27%. Stable high pressure and typical September Atlantic flow limit warming potential, consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the date, while minor model spread in cloud cover or wind timing accounts for the remaining probability distribution across 17–21°C. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine exact maxima ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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